De-Escalation Or Setback
+0.3%
Technical limits, interception vulnerabilities, or regional mediation reduce the immediate threat value of the Arash-3. This path is less likely given the escalation trend, but Tehran has incentives to avoid triggering direct war while preserving deterrent messaging.
What it moves
- Consumer Services+0.5%
- Industrials−0.5%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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