Challenges Drag On

25%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Republicans contest several close results through county canvasses, recount petitions, and election protests before the North Carolina State Board of Elections. The most likely outcome is delay rather than reversal, but the process could matter if the U.S. House margin is only a few seats.

What it moves

Technology−0.2%
Finance−0.1%
Market volatility▲ up
10-year Treasury yield▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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