Possible scenario
Race Stays Unresolved
18% Chance
The poll proves directionally accurate about competitiveness but not enough to establish a clear favorite. The district becomes one of the final House races called, with absentee ballots and provisional ballots receiving national attention.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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