Possible scenario
Lacore Wins Narrowly
32% Chance
Lacore converts the polling lead into a narrow Democratic pickup, helped by the open-seat dynamics after Nancy Mace's failed governor bid. The result would be an upset because the court-approved map and 2024 presidential baseline favored Republicans.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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