Possible scenario
Andrews Breaks Through
30% Chance
Andrews’s fundraising advantage, suburban gains, and dissatisfaction with Graham overcome the late GOP cash injection. The result would mark a major Democratic breakthrough in South Carolina and could materially affect Senate-control math.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.3%
- Finance -0.2%
- Healthcare +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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