Possible scenario
Race Stays Toss-Up
20% Chance
The new Republican money is enough to keep Graham competitive but not enough to break the race open. Andrews continues to raise heavily online and from national Democratic donors, leaving the contest effectively tied into the final stretch.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.