Possible scenario
Scrutiny Lingers Unresolved
30% Chance
The town hall disavowal does not fully close the issue because earlier writings, family allegations, and Republican attacks remain in circulation. The story becomes a recurring campaign liability without producing a decisive break in the race.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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