Possible scenario
Disavowal Stabilizes Campaign
40% Chance
El-Sayed's explicit disavowal of the Muslim Brotherhood gives allied Democrats and Muslim civic groups enough cover to stay with him. The controversy remains part of the race, but it stops dominating local coverage unless new evidence appears.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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