The organization shifted several typically safe Republican seats from Solid R to Likely R, specifically those in Wyoming At-Large, Nebraska's 1st, Indiana's 5th, and Arkansas's 2nd. Other revisions include rating changes from Likely R to Lean R in districts across Maine's 2nd, Alabama's 2nd, Nevada's 2nd, New York's 21st, and South Carolina's 1st, with Kentucky's 6th and Montana's 1st moving from Lean R to Tilt R.
Wednesday, October 21, 2026
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Inside Elections Shifts 19 House Races Toward Democrats
US Politics5 days ago
Democratic candidates have gained an edge in Arizona's 1st and Pennsylvania's 7th and 8th districts in the latest ratings update for the US House. Inside Elections shifted a total of 19 contests toward Democrats, including the movement of Nebraska's 2nd district from Tilt D to Lean D. The forecasting group also reclassified Iowa's 2nd, North Carolina's 1st and 11th, and Ohio's 9th as Toss-Up seats that previously favored Republicans.
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