Relief Rally Holds

38%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.3%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Investors treat Musk’s ‘guppy-level death’ warning as colorful but not new information, focusing instead on contracted demand from Microsoft, OpenAI and other AI buyers. The rebound continues as short covering and bargain hunting stabilize the neocloud group after the prior selloff.

What it moves

Technology+0.6%

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?