Possible scenario
Cotton Holds Block
40% Chance
Tom Cotton maintains his objection despite Trump's public pressure, arguing that permanent daylight saving time creates safety and morning-darkness problems for rural states. Senate leaders avoid spending scarce floor time on a nonessential fight before year-end, leaving the House-passed bill stalled.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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