No Governing Majority

25%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.5%on the S&P 500, if it happens

High turnout does not translate into a decisive majority for either Netanyahu or Eisenkot. Israel enters another period of coalition bargaining, with President Isaac Herzog forced to choose which leader gets the first mandate.

What it moves

Finance−0.3%
Industrials+0.1%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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