Centrist Turnout Breakthrough

38%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Record turnout proves strongest in urban and centrist-leaning districts, leaving Benjamin Netanyahu’s bloc short of a governing majority. Gadi Eisenkot emerges with the clearest path to form a broad post-war government, likely with Yair Lapid and other anti-Netanyahu factions.

What it moves

Energy−0.2%
Finance+0.1%
Market volatility▼ down
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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