Possible scenario
Race Stays Deadlocked
21% Chance
The Democratic ad campaign and Republican counterspending cancel each other out, leaving the contest within the margin of error. Maine's ranked-choice voting rules make a delayed result plausible if no candidate wins an outright majority.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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