Possible scenario
Jackson Gains Edge
34% Chance
The $3.4 million Democratic ad buy reinforces attacks on Susan Collins and helps Troy Jackson consolidate anti-incumbent voters. Maine's independent-heavy electorate keeps the race close, but the ad pressure makes Collins' path narrower than in past cycles.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
- Energy -0.2%
- Healthcare -0.1%
- Utilities +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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