Deadlock Persists

its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The raid hardens positions and leaves Kurdistan’s parliament effectively frozen while party courts, security bodies, and media outlets trade accusations. This outcome is plausible because PUK-KDP rivalry over institutional control has repeatedly outweighed pressure for normal governance.

What it moves

Oil prices▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Deadlock Persists

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