Possible scenario
Risk-Off Backlog Builds
20% Chance
A less favorable but credible outcome is that bond-market volatility continues to disrupt equity-risk appetite. In this case, the Q3 postponements become the start of a larger backlog rather than a temporary pause.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.8%
- Technology -0.7%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.4%
- Energy -0.3%
- Utilities -0.2%
Tickers
- MS-0.8%
- -0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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