Possible scenario
Orderly Reopening Begins
28% Chance
A stabilization in rate volatility and acceptance of lower valuations allows a narrow reopening of the IPO market. This scenario is plausible because oversubscription in postponed deals such as Oura suggests investor demand exists, but only with more favorable pricing.
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.4%
- Technology +0.4%
- Energy +0.2%
- Healthcare +0.2%
- Utilities +0.1%
Tickers
- NDAQ+0.5%
- +0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.