Possible scenario
Musk Retreats Politically
20%
+0.1%
After spending $474 million with poor results, Musk reduces direct political funding and emphasizes Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and X. This is plausible because the outcome weakens the strategic case for large midterm spending and increases brand-risk costs.
What it moves
- Technology+0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals+0.1%
- Market volatility
- Bitcoin
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