Saturation Limits Returns

15%its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The record ad total produces diminishing returns as voters in swing states are saturated with repetitive messages. Campaigns and PACs redirect some money to field operations, texting, influencer programs and legal preparedness instead of buying more TV inventory.

What it moves

Business Services+0.3%
Consumer Services−0.2%

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?