Possible scenario
Prolonged Build Delays
27% Chance
The force majeure claim reflects real permitting, power-delivery and construction bottlenecks that cannot be quickly fixed. Oracle remains committed to the OpenAI computing deal, but delivery delays create pressure on counterparties, contractors and power suppliers.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.0%
- Utilities -1.1%
- Industrials -0.4%
- Finance -0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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