Possible scenario
Photo-Finish Contest
16% Chance
The poll correctly identifies a toss-up rather than a clear Turek advantage. The race remains unresolved on election night, with absentee ballots and county canvasses determining the outcome.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare -0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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