Possible scenario
Prosecutors Reassess Evidence
20% Chance
The deposition could contain statements about assets, income or debts that prosecutors compare with tax filings, financial disclosures and testimony from people tied to Nate Paul or Paxton donors. This is less likely than political fallout, but the document may revive dormant investigative leads.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.