Possible scenario
Tax Mostly Upheld
22% Chance
The court rules Illinois has authority to impose the tax on covered digital-asset transactions and rejects most industry claims. This is less likely than a narrowed ruling because the measure is novel and has already been delayed, but courts may defer to state tax powers.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-2.4%
- HOOD-1.1%
- -0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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