Vance Backlash Grows

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The Vance appearances energize the GOP base but reinforce Democratic and independent messaging that Republican candidates are too tied to Trump. Hamilton gains in Kansas, and Seth Bodnar’s independent bid in Montana becomes more credible after Buttigieg’s endorsement.

What it moves

Healthcare+0.4%
Energy−0.4%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Vance Backlash Grows

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