Possible scenario
Rules Shift Elsewhere
20% Chance
The end of the Treasury rule does not end the policy debate. Congress, state regulators, and prudential supervisors may fill the gap with narrower statutory or licensing requirements, creating a more fragmented but still workable framework.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.1%
- Finance +0.1%
Tickers
- CRCL+0.8%
- +0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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