Tilt | Your Portfolio's Exposure to Current Events

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News relevance rankingSee today’s stories, ranked by what they mean for your portfolio.
Future probability calculationCalculate the odds of any future you describe.
Scenario exposure scoringFind which holdings a story touches, and by how much.
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Friday, November 13, 2026Fri Nov 13 2026

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US Politics
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Future Outlook

Troy Downing

Troy Downing Leads in Latest Poll for Montana’s 2nd Congressional District

US Politics Troy Downing Montana's 2nd congressional districtOct 31

Troy Downing Leads in Latest Poll for Montana’s 2nd Congressional District

Markets live ·

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce, byDec 3164%up 35 points
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?50%up 23 points
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?23%up 7 points
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?Nov 308%down 2 pointsDec 3124%down 6 pointsMar 3159%down 4 points
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?57%down 1 point
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?2%

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce, byDec 3164%up 35 points
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?50%up 23 points
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?23%up 7 points
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?Nov 308%down 2 pointsDec 3124%down 6 pointsMar 3159%down 4 points
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?57%down 1 point
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?2%