Tilt | Your Portfolio's Exposure to Current Events

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Under the hood

News relevance rankingSee today’s stories, ranked by what they mean for your portfolio.
Future probability calculationCalculate the odds of any future you describe.
Scenario exposure scoringFind which holdings a story touches, and by how much.
Economic impact simulationsSimulate what a scenario does to your portfolio, position by position.
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Methodology backtestingTest an index rule against history before it goes live.

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Friday, November 13, 2026Fri Nov 13 2026

AI
US Politics
Business
Tech
Geopolitics
Crypto
War
Commodities
World
Global Markets
US Markets
Cybersecurity
Future Outlook

Situational Awareness Fund

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Startups Fluidstack Situational Awareness FundOct 29

Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness Fund Seeks Capital for $40B Fluidstack Investment

Markets live ·

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced, byDec 3130%up 20 points
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?23%up 9 points
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire, byDec 3181%down 7 points
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?Nov 3010%down 5 pointsDec 3131%down 5 points
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place, byDec 31, 202669%up 5 points
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site, byDec 318%down 3 points
US imports Russian diesel by...?Nov 151%Nov 305%up 1 pointDec 3110%down 1 pointJan 3113%down 3 points
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?2%
Pete Hegseth impeached, byDec 31, 20263%
Will any country leave NATO, byDec 31, 20263%

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced, byDec 3130%up 20 points
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?23%up 9 points
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire, byDec 3181%down 7 points
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?Nov 3010%down 5 pointsDec 3131%down 5 points
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place, byDec 31, 202669%up 5 points
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site, byDec 318%down 3 points
US imports Russian diesel by...?Nov 151%Nov 305%up 1 pointDec 3110%down 1 pointJan 3113%down 3 points
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?2%
Pete Hegseth impeached, byDec 31, 20263%
Will any country leave NATO, byDec 31, 20263%