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Monday, November 2, 2026Mon Nov 2 2026

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Scott Armstrong

Astra AI Discovers Simpler General Proof for First Passage Percolation Variance

AI Scott Armstrong Ahmed Bourabee11 hours ago

Astra AI Discovers Simpler General Proof for First Passage Percolation Variance

Markets live ·

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution?37%up 10 points
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?23%down 9 points
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?Nov 3028%up 4 pointsDec 3145%up 6 points
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House76%up 5 points
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?24%up 5 points
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?76%up 4 points
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?Nov 1576%down 3 pointsDec 3198%up 2 points
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?Nov 20%down 2 pointsNov 3026%down 1 pointDec 3139%down 1 point
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?2%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?2%

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution?37%up 10 points
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?23%down 9 points
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?Nov 3028%up 4 pointsDec 3145%up 6 points
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House76%up 5 points
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?24%up 5 points
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?76%up 4 points
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?Nov 1576%down 3 pointsDec 3198%up 2 points
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?Nov 20%down 2 pointsNov 3026%down 1 pointDec 3139%down 1 point
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?2%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?2%