Tilt | Your Portfolio's Exposure to Current Events

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News relevance rankingSee today’s stories, ranked by what they mean for your portfolio.
Future probability calculationCalculate the odds of any future you describe.
Scenario exposure scoringFind which holdings a story touches, and by how much.
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Tuesday, November 10, 2026Tue Nov 10 2026

AI
US Politics
Business
Tech
Geopolitics
Crypto
War
Commodities
World
Global Markets
US Markets
Cybersecurity
Future Outlook

Kirishi

Ukrainian Refinery Attacks Reduce Russia's Total Oil Processing Capacity by 30%

Commodities Russia Ukraine2 hours ago

Ukrainian Refinery Attacks Reduce Russia's Total Oil Processing Capacity by 30%

Markets live ·

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November?87%up 17 points
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day?11%down 15 points
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?42%up 13 points
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?10%up 10 points
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West)?78%down 7 points
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Dec 318%down 2 pointsMar 3121%down 1 point
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Nov 305%Jan 3125%up 1 pointMar 3136%May 3152%down 1 pointJun 3056%up 2 points
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal?16%

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November?87%up 17 points
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day?11%down 15 points
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?42%up 13 points
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?10%up 10 points
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West)?78%down 7 points
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Dec 318%down 2 pointsMar 3121%down 1 point
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Nov 305%Jan 3125%up 1 pointMar 3136%May 3152%down 1 pointJun 3056%up 2 points
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal?16%