Tilt | Your Portfolio's Exposure to Current Events

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News relevance rankingSee today’s stories, ranked by what they mean for your portfolio.
Future probability calculationCalculate the odds of any future you describe.
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Tuesday, November 10, 2026Tue Nov 10 2026

AI
US Politics
Business
Tech
Geopolitics
Crypto
War
Commodities
World
Global Markets
US Markets
Cybersecurity
Future Outlook

Ben Ferguson

Ben Ferguson Emerges as Frontrunner as Trump Seeks Male Press Secretary

US Politics Ben Ferguson Donald Trump8 hours ago

Ben Ferguson Emerges as Frontrunner as Trump Seeks Male Press Secretary

Markets live ·

Pete Hegseth impeached?3%down 78 points
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?96%up 15 points
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?96%up 13 points
US imports Russian diesel by...?Nov 151%down 2 pointsNov 307%down 2 pointsDec 3110%down 8 pointsJan 3112%down 9 points
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West)?88%up 6 points
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?7%up 5 points
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?7%up 3 points
Israeli Knesset election annulled?1%down 1 point
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy?20%

Pete Hegseth impeached?3%down 78 points
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?96%up 15 points
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?96%up 13 points
US imports Russian diesel by...?Nov 151%down 2 pointsNov 307%down 2 pointsDec 3110%down 8 pointsJan 3112%down 9 points
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West)?88%up 6 points
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?7%up 5 points
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?7%up 3 points
Israeli Knesset election annulled?1%down 1 point
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy?20%