Possible scenario
Deployment Fight Returns
20% Chance
The shooting becomes another data point in the political and legal fight over President Trump's extended D.C. Guard deployment. Opponents argue that Guard members are being put into unsuitable street-policing roles, while supporters cite the shooting as proof that federal presence remains necessary.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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