Possible scenario
Policy Response Caps
25% Chance
Officials in Washington and consumer-country capitals look for ways to limit the inflationary effect of $100 oil without signaling a full emergency response. Even verbal intervention, SPR swap discussion, or diplomatic pressure on producers could cool the rally.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -1.0%
- Consumer Services +0.6%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.4%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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