Possible scenario
Policy Is Watered
25% Chance
Financial-services employers and some large technology companies persuade ministers that a full ban could damage client protection and intellectual-property security. The final package becomes narrower than the initial headline proposal, reducing disruption for incumbent employers.
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.3%
- Technology +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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