Republican Resistance Builds

its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Republicans accept the gubernatorial result but try to convert Lombardo’s loss into an organizing campaign against a Democratic state agenda. The main outcome is legislative friction rather than systemic instability.

What it moves

Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?