Possible scenario
Political Scrutiny Rises
18% Chance
Opposition lawmakers and prefectural officials focus on public trust after two years of heightened tsunami and quake alerts. The issue produces hearings and administrative criticism but no evidence of malicious activity.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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