Possible scenario
Limited Court Review
35% Chance
A federal court allows Marsha Blackburn's core constitutional claims to move forward while narrowing the case against Jack Smith personally. The most likely path is procedural: the judge avoids a sweeping ruling on the January 6 probe but permits targeted review of how congressional phone records were obtained and handled.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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