Possible scenario
Case Mostly Dismissed
30% Chance
The court dismisses most or all of Blackburn's lawsuit, citing prosecutorial immunity, sovereign immunity, standing limits, or the third-party doctrine. This outcome would fit prior judicial reluctance to second-guess criminal investigative steps absent a clear ongoing injury.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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