Scenario description
Assume global diesel and middle-distillate markets materially ease by 2027-03-31. The initiating condition is that refinery-throughput recovery, changed crude or product flows, weaker diesel/gasoil demand, or broader oil-product oversupply translates into enough diesel/gasoil availability that the earlier IEA-described middle-distillate squeeze is no longer a material market constraint. The geography is global, with emphasis on major consuming and trading regions covered by the IEA, EIA, MarketBrief, or comparable recognized energy-market sources. The supplied evidence reports tighter conditions as of the October IEA summaries, including high crack spreads and falling inventories, but does not provide the exact additional refinery output, inventory level, demand change, flow change, or crack-spread level that would mark normalization.