Guardrailed Campaign Adoption

35%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Several potential 2028 presidential candidates accept OpenAI briefings but keep the relationship framed around voter education, rapid-response research, and message testing rather than persuasion automation. OpenAI emphasizes opt-in tools, content provenance, and compliance with its political-use policies to avoid repeating 2024 deepfake controversies.

What it moves

Technology+0.4%
Business Services+0.2%

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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