Possible scenario
Republican Holds Seat
20% Chance
The CLF withdrawal proves to be a poor read of the district rather than a reliable signal of defeat. A favorable national environment, high Republican turnout, or Powell campaign mistakes allow the GOP nominee to retain the open Nebraska 2nd District seat.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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