Possible scenario
Limited Enforcement Continues
32% Chance
Florida implements the order mainly through administrative tools rather than sweeping arrests. Agencies focus on grants, procurement, campus security, charity filings and information-sharing with local law enforcement, producing legal friction but limited immediate market consequences.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.2%
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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