Wider Bank Stress
−0.2%
The empty-vault discovery leads investigators to examine whether assets moved through additional banks or finance companies before the raid. This is less likely than a contained corruption probe, but it would be the scenario with the clearest financial-market implications.
What it moves
- Finance−0.5%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.