Possible scenario
Wiles Stays Longer
20% Chance
Trump may float replacements without immediately removing Susie Wiles, especially if allies warn that another chaotic staff change would distract from policy and electoral priorities. Wiles has survived previous internal rivalries and may stay through a defined transition period.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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