Possible scenario
Advisory Stabilizes
35% Chance
Saudi air defenses and airport security measures reduce near-term disruption after the latest Houthi strikes. The UK keeps essential-only guidance in place, but airlines maintain limited operations and markets treat the event as contained regional risk.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +1.2%
- Energy -0.4%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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