Possible scenario
Demand Destruction Builds
18% Chance
Persistently high diesel and gasoline prices begin to reduce discretionary travel, freight activity, and industrial fuel demand. Refiners initially benefit from margins, but investors begin questioning how long demand can absorb elevated product prices.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.8%
- Industrials -0.4%
- Energy +0.3%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.3%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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