Possible scenario
PAC Scrutiny Expands
10%
0.0%
The controversy shifts from campaign rhetoric to the outside group’s funding, governance, and possible coordination with El-Sayed allies. This scenario is lower probability because campaigns and PACs usually maintain legal separation, but the ad’s content gives opponents an incentive to investigate.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.