Possible scenario
Race Becomes Toss-Up
24% Chance
The ad buy may be interpreted as a sign that Republicans see unexpected risk in South Carolina's 1st District. If Democratic polling improves or LaCore's favorability softens, both parties could escalate spending in the final weeks.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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