Possible scenario
Governor Isolates Caldwell
25% Chance
If Caldwell continues to refuse resignation, Sherrill likely uses executive authority to remove him from policy portfolios, public events, and administration meetings. This would leave him technically in office but politically marginalized while investigations and legislative options proceed.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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