Possible scenario
Prolonged banking disruption
20% Chance
The outage proves harder to resolve for financial clients than for general web services, leaving some payment rails unstable into the next business day. This would be a more severe sector event, but still below a systemic banking crisis because deposits and capital positions are not directly impaired.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.5%
- Finance -2.0%
- Business Services +0.7%
Tickers
- GOOG-5.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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